Had a great conversation with Joshua Holland for Bill Moyers & Co. The transcript is here.
I discuss US military operations and the Obama administration's counterterrrorism (CT) policy with Tim McNulty for the Medill National Security Journalism Initiative. I argue that while drone strikes and special operations receive the most attention, "partner capacity operations," such as training of foreign miltiaries and selling weapons, may have much bigger impacts on US national interests and the societies they target.
I have a post at the Monkey Cage that looks at recent Israeli polling data (the invaluable Israel National Election Survey) through the lens of cost redistribution theory. For space reasons, I did not include all the graphs depicting my results, so I've included them here:
A higher percentage of less wealthy Israeli (non-Arab) respondents are unwilling to contemplate evacuation of any settlement in the occupied territories.
There appears, however, to be no obvious relationship between one's income and choosing military strength over diplomacy as a source of peace. This represents a different finding than what my book lays out from the 2006 INES survey.
Importantly, there is no relationship between whether one describes oneself as a hawk and one's income. As in 2006, there is no evidence that less wealthy people value defense differently, but they do want more of it.
I ran logit, ordinary logit, and OLS regression models as appropriate, including covariates for age, gender, education, religious observance, political orientation, political knowledge, and whether one emigrated from the former Soviet Union. The relationships are in the predicted directions.
Ethan Kapstein and I highlight the impending decline in US military exports as a share of the growing market.